Re: Not to incite a language war but apparently the Corona lockdown was based on 13 year old undocumented C-Code

[Simon Wright <simon@pushface.org>]

Optikos <ZUERCHER_Andreas@outlook.com> writes:

> On Sunday, May 17, 2020 at 1:00:10 PM UTC-5, Simon Wright wrote:
>> Optikos writes:
>> 
>> > Given that the Ferguson model is repeatedly overestimating calamity
>> > for multiple epidemics/pandemics for over a decade now
>> 
>> Can you point us to the evidence for this? (again, if necessary)
>
> Yes, I'd be glad to.  (But I am not endorsing any of this content.  I
> am merely saying that it should be taken as input to debate Anatoly's
> source code and any other Ada pandemic forecasting models that might
> arise, as such criticisms in the popular press or social-critique
> press serve as some degree of expectations that society places upon
> software modeling.)
>
> repeated from the thread above:
> https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/six-questions-that-neil-ferguson-should-be-asked/amp
>
> and links therein.

First reactions: Not a huge fan of the Spectator, and certainly not of
that journalist who "is The Spectator's gossip columnist, serving up the
latest tittle tattle from Westminster and beyond".

It's far from obvious that all the overestimates quoted are down to the
model used ffor COVID-19.

For all we know there are underestimates as well.