Re: Not to incite a language war but apparently the Corona lockdown was based on 13 year old undocumented C-Code

[Simon Wright <simon@pushface.org>]

Optikos <ZUERCHER_Andreas@outlook.com> writes:

> On Sunday, May 17, 2020 at 4:20:07 PM UTC-5, Simon Wright wrote:
>> Optikos writes:
>> 
>> > On Sunday, May 17, 2020 at 1:00:10 PM UTC-5, Simon Wright wrote:
>> >> Optikos writes:
[...]
>> > repeated from the thread above:
>> > https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/six-questions-that-neil-ferguson-should-be-asked/amp
>> >
>> > and links therein.
>> 
>> First reactions: Not a huge fan of the Spectator, and certainly not of
>> that journalist who "is The Spectator's gossip columnist, serving up the
>> latest tittle tattle from Westminster and beyond".
>
> Hence why I overtly stated “and links therein”.  Are you likewise not
> a fan of The Telegraph and its Katherine Rushton and Daniel Faggo?

Absolutely not a fan of the "Torygraph"

> Are you likewise not a fan of Breitbart and its James Delingpole?

Well-known Brexit fanboys, which evidence suggests they're best ignored

> Here is a linked-therein critique of Ferguson's model dating back to
> foot-&-mouth disease era:
> https://www.research.ed.ac.uk/portal/files/14288330/Use_and_abuse_of_mathematical_models_an_illustration_from_the_2001_foot_and_mouth_disease_epidemic_in_the_United_Kingdom.pdf

That's a [probably justified] criticism of the use of Ferguson &co's
modelling teams' work. Not a criticism of Ferguson's model as used
recently, which - at 13 yars old - started 6 years after the 2001 FMD
outbreak.

> Perhaps ad hominem against the gossip columnist is not especially
> warranted in this case in a don't-kill-the-messenger moral of the
> story.

He writes under the byline that I quoted

> Again I reiterate from a prior reply above, these writings in the
> popular press and the critical-thinking press set a degree of
> expectation for an Ada model of pandemic forecasting to perhaps live
> up to, if they have merit.

The Edinburgh article recommends not using modelling at all prior
to/during an outbreak, only afterwards